{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\uff08\u514d\u8cbb\u8a66\u95b1\uff09","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/wsj","title":"\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u66fe\u8a66\u5716\u626d\u8f49\u6046\u5927\u9839\u52e2\uff0c\u4ed6\u7de3\u4f55\u5931\u6557? - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/772121\">\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u66fe\u8a66\u5716\u626d\u8f49\u6046\u5927\u9839\u52e2\uff0c\u4ed6\u7de3\u4f55\u5931\u6557?<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var 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3333.HK)\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u8208\u8870\u8d77\u843d\u3002\u9019\u5bb6\u623f\u5730\u7522\u958b\u767c\u5546\u66b4\u96f7\u5f8c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u7684\u5c62\u5c62\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u6046\u5927\u5371\u6a5f\u7d66\u840e\u9761\u4e0d\u632f\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u5e36\u4f86\u4e86\u66f4\u5927\u554f\u984c\u3002 2021\u5e74\uff0c\u9677\u5165\u8ca1\u52d9\u56f0\u5883\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u66fe\u5411\u653f\u5e9c\u5b98\u54e1\u6c42\u52a9\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u653f\u5e9c\u52a9\u5176\u89e3\u6c7a\u7121\u529b\u511f\u9084\u5de8\u984d\u50b5\u52d9\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u6709\u95dc\u90e8\u9580\u548c\u76e3\u7ba1\u6a5f\u69cb\u540c\u610f\u6709\u689d\u4ef6\u5730\u5e6b\u52a9\u9019\u5bb6\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5de8\u982d\u5316\u89e3\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u8eab\u70ba\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u5275\u59cb\u4eba\u517c\u8463\u4e8b\u5c40\u4e3b\u5e2d\u7684\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u7576\u6642\u627f\u8afe\uff0c\u5c07\u512a\u5148\u4fdd\u969c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u9810\u552e\u7d66\u4e2d\u570b\u5404\u5730\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u4f4f\u5b85\u7684\u5efa\u8a2d\u548c\u5b8c\u5de5\u3002\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u7e3d\u90e8\u906d\u6297\u8b70\u8005\u570d\u5835\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u9084\u627f\u8afe\u5c0d\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4e86\u5176\u7406\u8ca1\u7522\u54c1\u7684\u570b\u5167\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9032\u884c\u5168\u984d\u511f\u4ed8\u3002 \u5169\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u64da\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b(The Wall Street Journal)\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u7684\u76e3\u7ba1\u516c\u544a\u6240\u4f5c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u7d04120\u842c\u5957\u9810\u552e\u623f\u4e2d\u4ecd\u6709\u7d0480\u842c\u5957\u672a\u5b8c\u5de5\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u5728\u5408\u80a5\u3001\u912d\u5dde\u3001\u6210\u90fd\u7b49\u591a\u500b\u57ce\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u4f4f\u5b85\u9805\u76ee\u65bd\u5de5\u9032\u5ea6\u5df2\u7d93\u653e\u7de9\u6216\u9677\u5165\u505c\u6eef\u3002\u4eca\u5e748\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6046\u5927\u7406\u8ca1\u7522\u54c1\u505c\u6b62\u514c\u4ed8\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u5f15\u8d77\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u4e0d\u6eff\u3002 \u7531\u65bc\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u7684\u5931\u4fe1\u9055\u7d04\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4e2d\u570b\u6c11\u773e\u5927\u611f\u61a4\u6012\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u7684\u672a\u5b8c\u5de5\u516c\u5bd3\u6a13\u76e4\u548c\u6295\u8cc7\u7522\u54c1\u4e2d\u6295\u5165\u7684\u5de8\u984d\u8cc7\u91d1\u8840\u672c\u7121\u6b78\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u5316\u89e3\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u5834\u4e82\u5c40\u3001\u6062\u5fa9\u8cfc\u623f\u8005\u5c0d\u4f4f\u623f\u5e02\u5834\u4fe1\u5fc3\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\u9762\u81e8\u66f4\u5927\u6311\u6230\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u5168\u570b\u4f4f\u623f\u92b7\u552e\u6bcf\u6cc1\u6108\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c31\u9023\u696d\u5167\u5be6\u529b\u8f03\u5f37\u7684\u958b\u767c\u5546\u4e5f\u5df2\u6416\u6416\u6b32\u589c\u3002\u672c\u6708\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5de8\u982d\u78a7\u6842\u5712(Country Garden, 2007.HK)\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u8868\u793a\u56e0\u92b7\u552e\u984d\u9a5f\u964d\u7121\u6cd5\u652f\u4ed8\u570b\u969b\u50b5\u52d9\u3002 \u4e0a\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u76e3\u7ba1\u6a5f\u69cb\u5426\u6c7a\u4e86\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u53ca\u5176\u9867\u554f\u715e\u8cbb\u82e6\u5fc3\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u5883\u5916\u50b5\u52d9\u91cd\u7d44\u548c\u696d\u52d9\u91cd\u632f\u8a08\u5283\u3002\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u5df2\u88ab\u8b66\u65b9\u76e3\u8996\u5c45\u4f4f\uff0c\u4e26\u56e0\u6d89\u5acc\u72af\u7f6a\u63a5\u53d7\u8abf\u67e5\uff0c\u4ee4\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u4e82\u4e0a\u52a0\u4e82\u3002\u64da\u300a\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\u300b\u65e9\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u6709\u95dc\u90e8\u9580\u6b63\u5728\u8abf\u67e565\u6b72\u7684\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u662f\u5426\u5728\u4e2d\u570b\u6046\u5927\u672a\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u4e26\u4ea4\u4ed8\u5176\u9810\u552e\u9805\u76ee\u4e4b\u969b\u4f01\u5716\u5c07\u8cc7\u7522\u8f49\u79fb\u5230\u6d77\u5916\u3002 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Beddor\u8868\u793a\u3002\u300c\u5f9e\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u6046\u5927\u7684\u5883\u5167\u696d\u52d9\u76ee\u524d\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53d7\u5230\u975e\u5e38\u56b4\u683c\u7684\u76e3\u7ba1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6046\u5927\u8207\u50b5\u5238\u6301\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6046\u5927\u8207\u5176\u9810\u552e\u623f\u7684\u8cfc\u623f\u8005\u7684\u4e92\u52d5\uff0c\u5f9e\u653f\u6cbb\u89d2\u5ea6\u4f86\u8b1b\uff0c\u8cfc\u623f\u8005\u662f\u6046\u5927\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u50b5\u6b0a\u4eba\u3002\u300d 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\u96a8\u8457\u8ca1\u5bcc\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u4e58\u5750\u79c1\u4eba\u98db\u6a5f\u5468\u904a\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u4e26\u6295\u8cc7\u4e86\u4e00\u5bb6\u8db3\u7403\u4ff1\u6a02\u90e8\uff0c\u591a\u5bb6\u91ab\u9662\uff0c\u9084\u6709\u7ce7\u6cb9\u4f01\u696d\u3002\u4ed6\u65bc2008\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u5168\u570b\u653f\u5354\u59d4\u54e1\uff0c\u4e26\u57282013\u5e74\u7576\u9078\u5168\u570b\u653f\u5354\u5e38\u59d4\u3002\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u8207\u963f\u91cc\u5df4\u5df4(Alibaba, BABA, 9988.HK)\u806f\u5408\u5275\u59cb\u4eba\u99ac\u96f2(Jack Ma)\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u5104\u842c\u5bcc\u7fc1\u7d50\u4ea4\uff0c2018\u5e74\u9084\u5728\u6642\u4efb\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b78(Harvard University)\u6821\u9577Lawrence Bacow\u7684\u966a\u540c\u4e0b\u53c2\u89c0\u4e86\u54c8\u4f5b\u6821\u5712\u3002 \u76e3\u7ba1\u516c\u544a\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u6046\u5927\u7684\u5927\u80a1\u6771\uff0c\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u53ca\u5176\u5bb6\u4eba\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u5f9e\u6046\u5927\u7372\u5f97\u4e86\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u7d0471\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u30022017\u5e74\uff0c\u798f\u5e03\u65af(Forbes)\u4f30\u8a08\u4ed6\u7684\u500b\u4eba\u8ca1\u5bcc\u8d85\u904e400\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 2018\u5e74\uff0c\u7576\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u958b\u59cb\u5c0d\u6046\u5927\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u589e\u9577\u548c\u4e0d\u65b7\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u8ca0\u50b5\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u5b89\u6642\uff0c\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u8a8d\u8cfc\u4e8610\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u6046\u5927\u767c\u884c\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\u50b5\u5238\uff0c\u516c\u958b\u5c0d\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u958b\u767c\u5546\u8868\u793a\u652f\u6301\u3002\u9019\u7b46\u50b5\u5238\u7684\u5e74\u5229\u7387\u6700\u9ad8\u70ba13.75%\u3002 2019\u5e74\uff0c\u5df2\u88ab\u6bcd\u6821\u8058\u70ba\u6559\u6388\u7684\u8a31\u5bb6\u5370\u6307\u5c0e\u4e86\u4e00\u540d\u5b78\u751f\u7684\u78a9\u58eb\u5b78\u4f4d\u8ad6\u6587\u300a\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u8996\u89d2\u4e0b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4f01\u696d\u8ca1\u52d9\u98a8\u96aa\u9810\u8b66\u6a21\u578b\u7814\u7a76\u300b(Research on an Early Warning Model for Financial Risks of Real Estate Companies from [&hellip;]"}