{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\uff08\u514d\u8cbb\u8a66\u95b1\uff09","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/wsj","title":"\u6b50\u4f69\u514b\u80fd\u6e90\u5927\u68d2\u5a01\u529b\u6f38\u5931\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7926\u7269\u5927\u68d2\u65e5\u76ca\u767c\u5a01 - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/766866\">\u6b50\u4f69\u514b\u80fd\u6e90\u5927\u68d2\u5a01\u529b\u6f38\u5931\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7926\u7269\u5927\u68d2\u65e5\u76ca\u767c\u5a01<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/766866\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u6b50\u4f69\u514b\u80fd\u6e90\u5927\u68d2\u5a01\u529b\u6f38\u5931\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7926\u7269\u5927\u68d2\u65e5\u76ca\u767c\u5a01&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime-fortuneinsight-cloud.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/14161001\/56.jpg","thumbnail_width":1000,"thumbnail_height":525,"description":"BY GREG IP, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL | UPDATED SEP 14, 2023 12:10 AM EDT \u7926\u7522\u8cc7\u6e90\u65e5\u76ca\u6b66\u5668\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u5f9e\u5730\u7406\u60c5\u6cc1\u548c\u5275\u65b0\u56e0\u7d20\u770b\uff0c\u9237\u3001\u92f0\u548c\u9285\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u5316\u6c38\u9060\u7121\u6cd5\u5177\u6709\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u90a3\u6a23\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u3002 \u5f9e20\u4e16\u7d0070\u5e74\u4ee3\u77f3\u6cb9\u8f38\u51fa\u570b\u7d44\u7e54(Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, \u7c21\u7a31\uff1a\u6b50\u4f69\u514b)\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u5be6\u65bd\u77f3\u6cb9\u7981\u904b\uff0c\u5230\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5207\u65b7\u5c0d\u897f\u6b50\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u4f9b\u61c9\uff0c\u5fc3\u61f7\u4e0d\u6eff\u7684\u653f\u6b0a\u5229\u7528\u5b83\u5011\u5c0d\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u4f86\u5be6\u73fe\u6230\u7565\u76ee\u6a19\u3002 \u800c\u5982\u4eca\u5411\u7da0\u8272\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u8f49\u578b\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u6b66\u5668\u6c38\u4e45\u5931\u53bb\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4f46\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4f9d\u8cf4\u53ca\u76f8\u95dc\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u6b66\u5668\u8f49\u63db\u6210\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u7a2e\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002 \u98a8\u3001\u967d\u5149\u548c\u6c2b\u90fd\u662f\u514d\u8cbb\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u8981\u5c07\u5b83\u5011\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u5132\u5b58\u5728\u96fb\u6c60\u4e2d\u4e26\u8f38\u9001\u51fa\u53bb\u5247\u9700\u8981\u7528\u5230\u5de8\u91cf\u7684\u7926\u7269\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e9b\u7926\u7269\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u4f86\u6e90\u537b\u6bd4\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u66f4\u70ba\u96c6\u4e2d\u5316\u3002 \u6839\u64da\u6a19\u666e\u5168\u7403(S&amp;P Global Inc., SPGI)\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u525b\u679c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5171\u548c\u570b\uff08\u7c21\u7a31\uff1a\u525b\u679c\uff08\u91d1\uff09\uff09\u64c1\u6709\u5168\u740343%\u7684\u9237\u7926\u85cf\uff0c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u64c1\u670934%\u7684\u92f0\u7926\u85cf\uff0c\u667a\u5229\u64c1\u670930%\u7684\u9285\u7926\u85cf\uff0c\u5370\u5c3c\u4f54\u670919%\u7684\u93b3\u7926\u85cf\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u638c\u63e1\u7684\u7926\u85cf\u4f54\u6bd4\u90fd\u8d85\u904e\u6c99\u70cf\u5730\u5728\u5168\u7403\u77f3\u6cb9\u7522\u91cf\u4e2d\u768412%\u4f54\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e5f\u8d85\u904e\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7522\u91cf\u4e2d\u768416%\u4f54\u6bd4\u3002 \u5c31\u4e0a\u8ff0\u56db\u7a2e\u7926\u7522\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7926\u85cf\u524d\u4e94\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u4f54\u64da\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u5132\u91cf\u3002\u6a19\u666e\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u524d\u4e94\u5927\u570b\u5bb6\u7e3d\u8a08\u638c\u63a7\u7684\u4efd\u984d\u4e0d\u5230\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002 \u4e0b\u6e38\u7684\u751f\u7522\u96c6\u4e2d\u5316\u60c5\u6cc1\u66f4\u70ba\u7a81\u51fa\uff1a\u4e2d\u570b\u63d0\u7149\u4e86\u5168\u740370%\u7684\u9237\u300165%\u7684\u92f0\u548c42%\u7684\u9285\uff0c\u90fd\u9060\u9060\u8d85\u904e\u4e86\u6b50\u4f69\u514b\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u7522\u4efd\u984d\u3002 \u897f\u65b9\u570b\u5bb6\u653f\u5e9c\u66fe\u4e00\u5ea6\u6a02\u898b\u4e2d\u570b\u9858\u610f\u627f\u652c\u9019\u4e9b\u53c8\u81df\u53c8\u7d2f\u7684\u91d1\u5c6c\u51b6\u934a\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u9019\u7a2e\u5168\u7403\u5316\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u672c\u61c9\u88ab\u5927\u529b\u63d0\u5021\u3002 \u5c0d\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u7684\u6050\u61fc \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6642\u79fb\u4e16\u6613\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4e00\u5834\u65b0\u51b7\u6230\u6b63\u62c9\u958b\u5927\u5e55\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u662f\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u570b\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u9019\u5169\u5927\u9663\u71df\u90fd\u5728\u5c07\u9019\u7a2e\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u95dc\u4fc2\u6b66\u5668\u5316\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u70cf\u514b\u862d\u6642\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u5c07\u5176\u8e22\u51fa\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u9280\u884c\u9ad4\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e26\u5207\u65b7\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7269\u8cc7\u548c\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u4f9b\u61c9\u3002\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u53cd\u904e\u4f86\u524a\u6e1b\u4e86\u5c0d\u897f\u6b50\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u4f9b\u61c9\u3002\u8207\u6b64\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9650\u5236\u4e2d\u570b\u7372\u5f97\u95dc\u9375\u7684\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u6280\u8853\u3002 \u4e2d\u570b\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u7a2e\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u5b58\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u5229\u7528\u66f4\u662f\u7121\u4eba\u80fd\u53ca\u3002\u4e2d\u570b\u5e38\u5e38\u7981\u6b62\u8207\u6709\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6b67\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5f80\u4f86\uff0c\u4e26\u5c0d\u5916\u570b\u516c\u53f8\u5340\u5225\u5c0d\u5f85\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u652f\u6301\u672c\u570b\u9f8d\u982d\u4f01\u696d\u3002\u4eca\u5e747\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8868\u793a\u5c07\u9650\u5236\u5c0d\u534a\u5c0e\u9ad4\u3001\u98db\u5f48\u7cfb\u7d71\u548c\u592a\u967d\u80fd\u96fb\u6c60\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5169\u7a2e\u7926\u7269\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u73fe\u5728\u6b63\u7aed\u529b\u88dc\u8db3\u5176\u77ed\u677f\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u300a\u901a\u8139\u524a\u6e1b\u6cd5\u6848\u300b(Inflation Reduction Act)\u70ba\u96fb\u52d5\u6c7d\u8eca\u3001\u96fb\u6c60\u548c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u63d0\u4f9b\u5927\u91cf\u88dc\u8cbc\uff0c\u689d\u4ef6\u662f\u6240\u6d89\u7926\u7269\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u6216\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u6709\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5354\u5b9a\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u4f86\u81ea\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u6a19\u666e\u5168\u7403\u5728\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u6240\u6307\u51fa\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u7b56\u7565\u9762\u81e8\u4e00\u4e9b\u554f\u984c\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5c0d\u9019\u4e9b\u7926\u7269\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5df2\u5728\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u9019\u9805\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4\u76f8\u95dc\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u957712%-15%\u3002\u8a72\u5831\u544a\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u93b3\u3001\u9237\u548c\u92f0\u6d88\u8cbb\u91cf\u5c07\u589e\u957722\u500d\uff1b\u93b3\u3001\u9237\u548c\u92f0\u7528\u65bc\u96fb\u6c60\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u7da0\u8272\u6280\u8853\u3002\u9285\u6d88\u8cbb\u91cf\u5c07\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u500d\uff1b\u9285\u5ee3\u6cdb\u7528\u65bc\u767c\u96fb\u548c\u8f38\u96fb\u8a2d\u5099\u3002 \u6a19\u666e\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u4f7f\u7f8e\u570b\u66f4\u52a0\u4f9d\u8cf4\u9032\u53e3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u62cb\u958b\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u50c5\u5f9e\u4e00\u4e9b\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u8655\u63a1\u8cfc\uff0c\u5c07\u5f88\u96e3\u6eff\u8db3\u9032\u53e3\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u975e\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5925\u4f34\u7684\u9237\u7522\u91cf\u5c07\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u9237\u7522\u91cf\u768490%\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u9237\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7522\u81ea\u525b\u679c\uff08\u91d1\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u525b\u679c\uff08\u91d1\uff09\u751f\u7522\u7684\u9237\u670970%\u51fa\u53e3\u5230\u4e2d\u570b\u3002 \u8a31\u53ef\u7a0b\u5f0f\u59a8\u7919\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7926\u7269\u4f9b\u61c9 \u9019\u4e9b\u7926\u7269\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u4e26\u4e0d\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u6a19\u666e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u50c5\u7f8e\u570b\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u9285\u5132\u91cf\u5c31\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u517620\u5e74\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u91cf\u3002\u554f\u984c\u5728\u65bc\u7372\u53d6\uff1b\u6a19\u666e\u4f30\u8a08\uff0c\u4e00\u8655\u7926\u85cf\u5f9e\u767c\u73fe\u5230\u6295\u7522\u5e73\u5747\u9700\u8981\u8017\u8cbb15\u5e74\u6642\u9593\u3002 \u7f8e\u570b\u9032\u5c55\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c24\u5176\u6162\uff0c\u5149\u662f\u5be9\u6279\u5c31\u9700\u89817\u523010\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u96bb\u9700\u89812-3\u5e74\u3002S&amp;P Commodity Insights\u8aee\u8a62\u7e3d\u76e3Aurian de La Noue\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u63d0\u7149\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u66f4\u5177\u6311\u6230\u6027\u3002\u4ed6\u8aaa\uff0c\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e16\u7d0070\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u9084\u6c92\u6709\u5efa\u9020\u904e\u9285\u7cbe\u7149\u5ee0\u6216\u51b6\u934a\u5ee0\u3002 \u5f9e20\u4e16\u7d0050\u5e74\u4ee3\u523080\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u897f\u65b9\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u696d\u52d9\u88ab\u6771\u9053\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u570b\u6709\u5316\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u8cc7\u6e90\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u7fa9\u518d\u6b21\u8513\u5ef6\u3002\u5370\u5c3c\u6b63\u5728\u9650\u5236\u93b3\u7926\u77f3\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u4ee5\u6276\u6301\u570b\u5167\u7cbe\u7149\u884c\u696d\uff1b\u667a\u5229\u6b63\u5728\u5c07\u5176\u92f0\u7926\u90e8\u5206\u570b\u6709\u5316\u3002 \u5118\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0b\u500b\u6642\u4ee3\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u5c07\u8207\u4e0a\u500b\u6642\u4ee3\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff1a\u80fd\u6e90\u7926\u7522\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u6703\u50cf\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u90a3\u6a23\u88ab\u6709\u6548\u5730\u6b66\u5668\u5316\u3002 \u7926\u7522\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u77f3\u6cb9\u90a3\u6a23\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b \u77f3\u6cb9\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u7368\u4e00\u7121\u4e8c\u7684\u3002\u8207\u6728\u6750\u6216\u7164\u70ad\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u77f3\u6cb9\u66f4\u6613\u65bc\u904b\u8f38\u548c\u5132\u5b58\uff0c\u6548\u7387\u4e5f\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u77f3\u6cb9\u81ea\u7136\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u570b\u969b\u8cbf\u6613\u4ee5\u53ca\u63a7\u5236\u9019\u7a2e\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u77f3\u6cb9\u5728\u904b\u8f38\u4e2d\u767c\u63ee\u8457\u81f3\u95dc\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7528\u65bc\u8ecd\u7528\u5361\u8eca\u3001\u5766\u514b\u3001\u98db\u6a5f\u548c\u8ecd\u8266\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u77f3\u6cb9\u4f9b\u61c9\u4e8b\u95dc\u570b\u5bb6\u5b58\u4ea1\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u4e86\u5169\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u7684\u9032\u7a0b\u3002 \u800c\u80fd\u6e90\u7926\u7522\u4e26\u975e\u71c3\u6599\u3002\u80fd\u6e90\u6b77\u53f2\u5b78\u5bb6\u3001\u6a19\u666e\u526f\u8463\u4e8b\u9577Daniel Yergin\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u82e5\u5931\u53bb\u67d0\u4e9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7926\u7522\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u96fb\u52d5\u6c7d\u8eca\u7684\u6210\u672c\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u958b\u5c55\u6d77\u4e0a\u98a8\u96fb\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u96e3\u5ea6\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u6703\u6392\u968a\u70ba\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6c7d\u8eca\u52a0\u6eff\u9285\u3002\u300d \u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u6216\u7d44\u5efa\u4e00\u500b\u6b50\u4f69\u514b\u5f0f\u7d44\u7e54\u7684\u5617\u8a66\uff0c\u9072\u65e9\u6703\u62ac\u9ad8\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4eba\u5011\u5c0b\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf20\u4e16\u7d0070\u5e74\u4ee3\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\u4fc3\u9032\u4e86\u5317\u6d77\u548c\u963f\u62c9\u65af\u52a0\u5317\u5761\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u7522\u4e00\u6a23\u3002\u64da\u300a\u5316\u5b78\u4e16\u754c\u300b(Chemistry [&hellip;]"}