{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u65e5\u5831\uff08\u514d\u8cbb\u8a66\u95b1\uff09","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/wsj","title":"\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5468\u4e09\u6703\u6709\u4f55\u884c\u52d5\uff1f\u8df3\u904e\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u9084\u662f\u9023\u7e8c\u52a0\u606f\uff1f - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/751149\">\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5468\u4e09\u6703\u6709\u4f55\u884c\u52d5\uff1f\u8df3\u904e\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u3001\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u9084\u662f\u9023\u7e8c\u52a0\u606f\uff1f<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var 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class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime-fortuneinsight-cloud.s3.ap-southeast-1.amazonaws.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/14134927\/47.jpg","thumbnail_width":1000,"thumbnail_height":525,"description":"BY GREG ROBB, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL | UPDATED JUN 13, 2023 11:40 PM EDT \u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5167\u90e8\u4ee5\u53ca\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e4b\u9593\u5c31\u8a72\u592e\u884c\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u884c\u52d5\u65b9\u6848\u5b58\u5728\u5206\u6b67\u3002 \u5e02\u5834\u548c\u8a31\u591a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u672c\u5468\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u540c\u6642\u70ba\u6700\u65e9\u57287\u6708\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f\u655e\u958b\u5927\u9580\u2014\u2014\u9019\u7a2e\u300c\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u4f46\u4e0d\u653e\u68c4\u7dca\u7e2e\u300d(hawkish pause)\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u88ab\u4e00\u4e9b\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5b98\u54e1\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u8df3\u904e\u300d(skip)\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u3002 \u6e23\u6253\u9280\u884c(Standard Chartered Bank)\u5317\u7f8e\u5b8f\u89c0\u7b56\u7565\u4e3b\u7ba1Steve Englander\u7e3d\u7d50\u4e3b\u6d41\u89c0\u9ede\u6642\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u9810\u8a08\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u653f\u7b56\u59d4\u54e1\u5c07\u5c316\u6708\u4efd\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u63a5\u8fd1\u9054\u6210\u5b8c\u5168\u7684\u5171\u8b58\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u901a\u8139\u9032\u5c55\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ee4\u4eba\u6eff\u610f\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c0d7\u6708\u53ca\u4ee5\u5f8c\u52a0\u606f\u6703\u6301\u975e\u5e38\u958b\u653e\u7684\u614b\u5ea6\u3002\u300d \u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u6bcf\u516d\u5468\u53ec\u958b\u4e00\u6b21\u8b70\u606f\u6703\u3002\u5982\u679c6\u6708\u4efd\u6703\u8b70\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52d5\uff0c\u5c07\u662f\u81ea2022\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u9996\u6b21\u6c92\u6709\u4e0a\u8abf\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u3002 Regions Financial Corp\u9996\u5e2d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Richard Moody\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u5c0d\u65bc\u806f\u90a6\u516c\u958b\u5e02\u5834\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u96c6\u9ad4\u8a8d\u70ba\u7684\u9069\u5b9c\u5340\u9593\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u7684\u901a\u8139\u7387\u986f\u7136\u4ecd\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u7121\u8ad6\u672c\u5468\u662f\u5426\u63d0\u9ad8\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u8a72\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u90fd\u9762\u81e8\u8457\u6e9d\u901a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6311\u6230\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5e0c\u671b\u5f37\u8abf\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5169\u9ede\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u662f\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u8abf\u672a\u5fc5\u5df2\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u4e8c\u662f\u4e0b\u8abf\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u9084\u9060\u4e0d\u662f\u6642\u5019\u3002\u300d 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3\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u5c07\u4f7f\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u9054\u52305%-5.25%\u7684\u5340\u9593\u3002\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u73fe\u884c\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\u30023\u6708\u4efd\uff0c18\u4f4d\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5b98\u54e1\u4e2d\u67097\u4f4d\u8a8d\u70ba\u4eca\u5e74\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u606f\u662f\u5408\u9069\u7684\u3002 \u5bcc\u570b\u9280\u884c(Wells Fargo)\u9ad8\u7d1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Sam Bullard\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u300c\u6211\u5011\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u82073\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c2023\u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6578\u5713\u9ede\u5c07\u4e0a\u79fb25\u500b\u57fa\u9ede\u3002\u300dBullard\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8a8d\u70ba\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5c07\u5728\u9019\u500b\u5468\u671f\u5167\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u3002 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Logan)\u3002\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\uff0c\u6d1b\u6839\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u9084\u4e0d\u80fd\u8b49\u660e\u66ab\u505c\u52a0\u606f\u662f\u5408\u7406\u7684\u3002 \u662f\u5426\u6703\u66f4\u6539\u8072\u660e\u63aa\u8fad \u57285\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u5b98\u54e1\u5011\u522a\u9664\u4e86\u9810\u8a08\u6703\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u63aa\u8fad\u3002 \u4ed6\u5011\u4ee5\u65b0\u7684\u8a00\u8a9e\u53d6\u800c\u4ee3\u4e4b\uff0c\u7a31\u5c07\u4ed4\u7d30\u76e3\u6e2c\u7d93\u6fdf\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u4e26\u8a55\u4f30\u904e\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u6240\u6709\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3002 Evercore ISI\u7684\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2dKrishna Guha\u8aaa\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u53ef\u80fd\u8a66\u5716\u300c\u5f37\u8abf\u6301\u7e8c\u7684\u7dca\u7e2e\u50be\u5411\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u8868\u660e\u5c0d\u504f\u7dca\u7e2e\u6d3e\u89c0\u9ede\u7684\u8a8d\u540c\u3002 \u5176\u4ed6\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u5df2\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e(Jerome Powell)\u5728\u65b0\u805e\u767c\u5e03\u6703\u4e0a\u7684\u958b\u5834\u767d\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u6e9d\u901a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u624b\u6bb5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u66f4\u770b\u91cd\u6b63\u5f0f\u8072\u660e\u3002 \u662f\u5426\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u901a\u8139\u9810\u6e2c \u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u806f\u5132\u4ecd\u50be\u5411\u65bc\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\uff0c\u8a72\u592e\u884c\u63d0\u9ad8\u901a\u8139\u9810\u6e2c\u3002 \u6b63\u5982\u7a46\u8fea\u6240\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u300c\u986f\u7136\u901a\u8139\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u7136\u904e\u9ad8\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u90a6\u5132\u5099\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u516c\u958b\u5e02\u5834\u59d4\u54e1\u6703(FOMC)\u6574\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00\u96e3\u4ee5\u5b89\u5fc3\u3002\u300d 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