{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u7a4dGod","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/jakgod","title":"\u9ede\u89e3\u4eca\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u53cd\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u9280\u884c\u80a1\uff1f - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/652938\">\u9ede\u89e3\u4eca\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u53cd\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u9280\u884c\u80a1\uff1f<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/652938\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u9ede\u89e3\u4eca\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u53cd\u800c\u4e0d\u5229\u9280\u884c\u80a1\uff1f&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/FI_Prime_FB_Share_cover-500x263.jpg","thumbnail_width":500,"thumbnail_height":263,"description":"\u6700\u8fd1\u6709\u6703\u54e1\u554f\u8d77\u9ede\u89e3\u660e\u660e\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u958b\u59cb\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u80a1\u53cd\u800c\u6703\u8dcc\u5462\uff1f\u4e0d\u662f\u52a0\u606f\u5c31\u662f\u5c0d\u4f62\u5730\u5229\u597d\u55ce\uff1f\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u4e00\u822c\u4f86\u8aaa\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u78ba\u6709\u5229\u9280\u884c\u80a1\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u8cb8\u6b3e\u548c\u5b58\u6b3e\u7684\u5229\u5dee\uff0c\u64f4\u95ca\u76c8\u5229\u7a7a\u9593\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u52a0\u606f\u80cc\u5f8c\u901a\u5e38\u4fc2\u4ee3\u8868\u7d93\u6fdf\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u696d\u52d9\u90fd\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u53d7\u60e0\u3002\u4f46\u4eca\u6b21\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e26\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5169\u9ede\u3002 1. \u4e4b\u524d\u6709\u540c\u5927\u5bb6\u63d0\u904e\u5b73\u606f\u66f2\u7dda(yield curve), \u5373\u9577\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff0810Y)\u8207\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff082Y)\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u606f\u5dee\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u6210\u9280\u884c\u7684\u6bdb\u5229\u7387\u3002\u9280\u884c\u5438\u7d0d\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u5b58\u6b3e\u4fc2\u4ed8\u51fa\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff08\u6210\u672c\uff09\uff0c\u5411\u5927\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u8cb8\u6b3e\u4fc2\u6536\u53d6\u9577\u671f\u5229\u7387\uff08\u6536\u5165\uff09\uff0c\u4fc2\u6b63\u5e38\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff08\u9577\u606f\u9ad8\u65bc\u77ed\u606f\uff09\uff0c\u5481\u9280\u884c\u5148\u6709\u9322\u8cfa\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u6a02\u65bc\u653e\u6b3e\u3002Yield curve \u659c\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\uff08\u9577\u77ed\u606f\u5dee\u62c9\u95ca\uff09\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u5c31\u66f4\u52a0\u7a4d\u6975\u653e\u6b3e\uff0c\u5e36\u65fa\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u3002 \u76f8\u53cd\u5982\u679cYield curve \u5e73\u5766\u6216\u9006\u5411\uff08\u77ed\u606f\u9ad8\u65bc\u9577\u606f\uff0c\u5373\u5012\u639b\uff09\u5481\u6703\u9ede\uff1f\u6b63\u6b63\u5c31\u4fc2\u800c\u5bb6\u767c\u751f\u7dca\u3002\u9280\u884c\u5c31\u6703\u6e1b\u6162\u653e\u6b3e\uff0c\u4fc2\u4f62\u5730\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0c\u653e\u6b3e\u6709\u98a8\u96aa\u7121\u56de\u5831\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u7b97L\u6578\u3002\u7b49\u65bc\u5927\u5bb6\u5982\u679c\u6bcf\u65e5\u756a\u5de5\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff08\u8eca\u8cbb\u3001\u98df\u98ef\uff09\u9ad8\u904e\u65e5\u85aa\uff0c\u4ef2\u6703\u5514\u6703\u756a\u5de5\uff1f\u6240\u4ee5\u9ede\u89e3\u9280\u884c\u4fc2\u767e\u696d\u4e4b\u6bcd\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4f62\u5730\u4e00\u8209\u4e00\u52d5\u90fd\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u3002 2. \u4eca\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u4fc2\u56e0\u70ba\u58d3\u5236\u901a\u8139\uff0c\u5514\u4fc2\u56e0\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u597d\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u4ef2\u8981\u9762\u5c0d\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7de9\u7684GDP\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u6e1b\u6162\uff0c\u653e\u6b3e\u696d\u52d9\u90fd\u4e0d\u6703\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff08\u9019\u500b\u90fd\u4fc2\u96de\u5148\u9084\u662f\u86cb\u5148\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff09\u3002 \u7c21\u55ae\u7e3d\u7d50\u5c31\u4fc2\u9280\u884c\u5514\u4fc2\u7747\u5229\u7387\u6709\u5e7e\u9ad8\uff0c\u4fc2\u7747\u606f\u5dee\u6709\u5e7e\u95ca\u3002"}