{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u7a4dGod","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/jakgod","title":"\u8ac7\u8ac7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6307\u6a19 (Buffett indicator)\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548 - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/525959\">\u8ac7\u8ac7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6307\u6a19 (Buffett indicator)\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/525959\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u8ac7\u8ac7\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6307\u6a19 (Buffett indicator)\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/FI_Prime_FB_Share_cover-500x263.jpg","thumbnail_width":500,"thumbnail_height":263,"description":"\u6700\u8fd1\u597d\u591a\u4eba\u8b1bBuffett indicator, \u56e0\u70ba\u6bcf\u6b21\u7f8e\u80a1\u7834\u9802\u90fd\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u4eba\u6703\u62ce\u5462\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u9ece\u8b1b\u800c\u5bb6\u500b\u5e02\u597d\u5371\u96aa\u3002\u5176\u5be6\u5462\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u4fc2\u5df4\u83f2\u72792001\u5e74\u679c\u9663\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4ea6\u90fd\u4fc2\u4f62\u6700\u937e\u610f\u7528\u4f86\u5224\u65b7\u80a1\u5e02\u4f30\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u5481\u5462\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u4fc2\u9ede\u6a23\u5b9a\u7fa9? Buffett indicator = \u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u7e3d\u5e02\u503c (\u7f8e\u570b\u672c\u571f\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u7e3d\u5e02\u503c)\/\u7f8e\u570bGDP \u53ef\u4ee5\u7c21\u55ae\u7406\u89e3\u5c31\u4fc2\u5e02\u5834\u6574\u9ad4\u7684\u5e02\u92b7\u7387(PS)\uff0c\u4f60\u7576\u4e0a\u5e02\u516c\u53f8\u7e3d\u5e02\u503c=\u80a1\u50f9; GDP = \u7f8e\u570b\u6574\u9ad4\u71df\u6536\uff0c\u5c31\u4fc2\u50f9\u683c\/\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u6307\u6a19\u8d8a\u9ad8\u4ee3\u8868\u80a1\u5e02\u8d8a\u8cb4\u3002 \u6839\u64da\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u8aaa\u6cd5\u6307\u6a19\u5982\u572870%-80%\u4ee3\u8868\u503c\u5f97\u8cb7\u5165; \u63a5\u8fd1200%\u5c31\u98a8\u96aa\u6975\u5927\u3002 \u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003\u4e0a\u5716\u8fd130\u5e74\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1buffett indicator\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u5927\u7d04\u5de6120%\uff0c\u5373\u4fc2\u4e2d\u9593\u689d\u9ed1\u7dda\u5c31\u4fc2\u5e73\u5747\u503c120%\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002\u9ed1\u7dda\u4e0b\u9762\u689d\u6dfa\u7da0\u8272\u7dda\u5c31\u4fc2\u4e00\u500d\u6a19\u6e96\u5dee\uff0c\u5c31\u4fc2\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6240\u8b1b80%\u503c\u5f97\u8cb7\u5165\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5169\u500b\u503c\u5f97\u8cb7\u5165\u9ede\uff0c\u5c31\u61ac1995\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u53ca2008\u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u5c31\u4e00\u53bb\u4e0d\u8fd4\u3002 \u800c\u5230\u5de62021\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u5df2\u7d93\u53bb\u5230226%\uff0c\u8d85\u904e\u5de62000\u5e74\u79d1\u7db2\u6ce1\u6cab\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ea6\u90fd\u4fc2\u4e4b\u524d\u597d\u591a\u4eba\u8b1b\u7f8e\u80a1\u8655\u65bc\u5371\u96aa\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002 \u53c3\u8003\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\uff0cbuffett indicator\u662f\u6709\u6548\u7684 \u4e0a\u5716\u4fc21950\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u6253\u6a6b\u5750\u6a19\u4fc2buffett indicator, \u8d8a\u5411\u53f3\u65b9\u5411\u4ee3\u8868\u6307\u6a19\u8d8a\u9ad8; \u6253\u76f4\u5750\u6a19\u4fc2\u6301\u6709\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u65785\u5e74\u5f8c\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u8d8a\u5411\u4e0a\u65b9\u5411\u4ee3\u8868\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002 \u6211\u5730\u53ef\u4ee5\u7747\u5230\u7576buffett indicator \u8d8a\u9ad8\u679c\u9663\uff0c5\u5e74\u5f8c\u80fd\u5920\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5c31\u6703\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002\u7c21\u55ae\u7406\u89e3\u5c31\u4fc2\uff0c\u7576\u4f60\u8cb7\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u683c\u8f03\u9ad8\u679c\u9663\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u80af\u5b9a\u6703\u8f03\u4f4e\u3002\u6309\u800c\u5bb6buffett indicator\u5275\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u8655\u65bc\u5728\u7d05\u7dda(200%)\u53f3\u908a\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u7167\u7406\u8ad6\u63a8\u65b7\u672a\u4f865\u5e74\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u90fd\u6703\u8f03\u4f4e\u3002 \u4ee3\u8868\u73fe\u6642\u8981\u6e05\u5009\u6539\u6301\u6709\u73fe\u91d1? Buffett indicator\u63d0\u51fa\u679c\u9663\u5176\u5be6\u672a\u51fa\u73fe\u904e\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f4e\u606f\u74b0\u5883\u5df2\u7dca\u884c\u5de6\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u8fd1\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u53c8\u6709\u591a\u9805\u5bec\u9b06\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u6301\u7e8c\uff0c\u5481\u80a1\u7968\u5c31\u6703\u4e00\u76f4\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u4f30\u503c\u3002\u7576\u7136\u5982\u679c\u672a\u4f86\u4f4e\u606f\u74b0\u5883\u4e0d\u518d\uff0c\u5481\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u597d\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u8981\u9762\u5c0d\u597d\u5927\u7684\u56de\u8abf\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u7167\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5\u4f86\u8b1b\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u61c9\u8a72\u5514\u6703\u767c\u751f\u7684\u3002\u53cd\u800c\u4fc2\u4f4e\u606f\u74b0\u5883\u4e0b\u6301\u6709\u73fe\u91d1\uff0c\u9762\u5c0d\u8cb6\u503c\u554f\u984c\u5148\u4fc2\u6700\u5927\u98a8\u96aa\u3002 \u7e3d\u7d50\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0cbuffett indicator\u90fd\u4fc2\u4e00\u7a2e\u503c\u5f97\u53c3\u8003\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u5730\u5514\u61c9\u8a72\u55ae\u6191\u4e00\u500b\u6307\u6a19\u5c31\u53bb\u6c7a\u5b9a100%\u6e05\u5009\u6539\u6301\u6709\u73fe\u91d1\u907f\u96aa\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u90fd\u8981\u5c07\u90e8\u5206\u8cc7\u91d1\u914d\u7f6e\u8cc7\u7522\u53bb\u589e\u503c\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4e0d\u9032\u5247\u9000\u90fd\u4fc2\u4e00\u7a2e\u98a8\u96aa\u3002"}