{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u66fe\u570b\u5e73\u6559\u6388","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/byrontkp","title":"\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6280\u8853\u81ea\u5b78\u66f8\u55ae (\u5fae\u89c0\u3001\u5b8f\u89c0) - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/494406\">\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6280\u8853\u81ea\u5b78\u66f8\u55ae (\u5fae\u89c0\u3001\u5b8f\u89c0)<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/494406\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6280\u8853\u81ea\u5b78\u66f8\u55ae (\u5fae\u89c0\u3001\u5b8f\u89c0)&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/5231.jpg","thumbnail_width":1200,"thumbnail_height":1200,"description":"\u4eca\u6b21\u5230\u4ecb\u7d39\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8457\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e00\u672c\u5fae\u89c0\uff0c\u4e00\u672c\u5b8f\u89c0\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u662f\u5927\u8def\u9078\u64c7\u3002 (\u4e09) Price Theory and Applications: Decisions, Markets, and Information by Jack Hirshleifer, Amihai Glazer, David Hirshleifer \u6211\u300c\u8a8d\u8b58\u300d\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u8d85\u904e\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u3002\u8a71\u8aaa\u7576\u5e74\u7d93\u6fdf\u79d1\u9ad8\u8003\uff0c\u8001\u5e2b\u83ab\u540d\u5176\u5999\u5728\u66f8\u55ae\u4e0a\u5217\u51fa\u4e09\u672c\u53c3\u8003\u66f8\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u672c(\u90a3\u6642\u597d\u50cf\u662f\u7b2c\u4e94\u7248)\u3002\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u90a3\u5e7e\u672c\u66f8\u53c3\u8003\u66f8\u90fd\u662f\u5f97\u500b\u8cb7\u5b57\uff0c\u675f\u4e4b\u9ad8\u95a3\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8981\u6e96\u5099\u7576\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u8003\uff0c\u770b\u300c\u96de\u7cbe\u66f8\u300d\u548c\u5f35\u4e94\u5e38\u7684\u5927\u4f5c\u5df2\u7d93\u8db3\u5920\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u53c3\u8003\u66f8\u4e0d\u662f\u96e2\u984c\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u592a\u6df1\u3002 \u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u53c3\u8003\u66f8\u8981\u5230\u6211\u4e0a\u4e86\u5927\u5b78\u4ee5\u5f8c\u624d\u770b\u5f97\u61c2\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5169\u672c\u8981\u5230\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u4ee5\u5f8c\u624d\u771f\u6b63\u660e\u767d\u5176\u7528\u5fc3\u6240\u5728\u3002\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u672c\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u672c\u662fAlchian\u7684\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u4e0d\u7b97\u6280\u8853\u6027\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u5728\u6b64\u66f8\u55ae\u4e4b\u5167\u3002 \u9019\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u8005\u662fJack Hirshleifer\uff0c\u719f\u77e5\u5f35\u4e94\u5e38\u7684\u670b\u53cb\u90fd\u6703\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u5f35\u4e94\u5e38\u5728UCLA\u6642\u7684\u8001\u5e2b\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e03\u7248\u7684\u66f8\u80cc\uff0c\u4ea6\u6703\u898b\u5230\u5f35\u4e94\u5e38\u7684\u8b9a\u7f8e\u4e4b\u8a5e\u3002 \u7531Jack Hirshleifer\u5df2\u7d93\u53bb\u4e16\uff0c\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u6700\u5f8c\u5c31\u53ea\u67092005\u5e74\u7684\u7b2c\u4e03\u7248\uff0c\u518d\u6c92\u6709\u66f4\u65b0\u4e86\u3002 \u5c0d\u672c\u79d1\u751f\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5176\u5be6\u76f8\u7576\u6280\u8853\u6027\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u795e\u5947\u4e4b\u8655\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u6b64\u66f8\u4e0d\u7528\u5fae\u7a4d\u5206(\u6709\u4ea6\u53ea\u6703\u5728\u6ce8\u91cb\u51fa\u73fe)\uff0c\u8457\u91cd\u5716\u89e3\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7528\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u53ea\u6709\u52a0\u6e1b\u4e58\u9664\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u7528\u7684\u6578\u6dfa\uff0c\u4f46\u66f8\u4e2d\u6559\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u7406\u8ad6\u4e00\u9ede\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7c21\u55ae\uff0c\u65e2\u5ee3\u95ca\u4ea6\u6df1\u523b\u3002\u6b64\u66f8\u96e3\u5f97\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u662f\u96d6\u7136\u6578\u5b78\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u6982\u5ff5\u548c\u7d30\u7bc0\u90fd\u76f8\u7576\u6e96\u78ba\u548c\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u7d55\u4e0d\u542b\u7cca\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b78\u5230\u4e00\u5957\u5f88\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u6703\u660e\u767d\u6bcf\u500b\u984c\u76ee\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u9023\u7e6b(\u4f8b\u5982\u4f9b\u6c42\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f9b\u61c9\u5f9e\u4f55\u800c\u4f86\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u5f9e\u4f55\u800c\u4f86\uff0c\u908f\u8f2f\u4e95\u7136)\u3002 \u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u53c3\u8003\u66f8\u53ea\u6709\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u770b\u5b8c\u5c31\u5f88\u5feb\u5fd8\u8a18\u5f97\u4e00\u4e7e\u4e8c\u6de8\u3002\u8ddf\u4e00\u822c\u5fae\u89c0\u6559\u79d1\u66f8\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u6b64\u66f8\u4e0d\u6703\u4e00\u5473\u53eb\u4f60\u770b\u5716\u8a08\u6578\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6bcf\u9694\u5e7e\u9801\u7d19\u5c31\u6703\u4ecb\u7d39\u4e00\u4e9b\u5be6\u8b49\u7814\u7a76\u3001\u5f15\u7528\u771f\u5be6\u500b\u6848\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u4f60\u8ff7\u5931\u5728\u6280\u8853\u6027\u7d30\u7bc0\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002 \u5176\u5be6\u5b78\u7fd2\u5fae\u89c0\uff0c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u5c31\u662f\u4e0d\u65b7\u61c9\u7528\uff0c\u7528\u5230\u8b8a\u6210\u81ea\u7136\u53cd\u61c9\u3002\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e6b\u4f60\u8e0f\u51fa\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u3002 (\u56db) The Investor&#8217;s Guide to Economic Indicators by Charles R. Nelson \u9019\u500b\u9078\u64c7\u66f4\u5947\u602a\u3002 \u6b64\u66f8\u4f5c\u8005\u662f\u6211\u5728\u83ef\u76db\u9813\u5927\u5b78\u8b80\u66f8\u6642\u7684\u8001\u5e2b\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u73fe\u5df2\u9000\u4f11\uff0c\u64da\u8aaa\u7576\u5e74\u4ed6\u5728\u83ef\u5927\u8ddf\u5f35\u4e94\u5e38\u6709\u9ede\u904e\u7bc0\uff0c\u4f46\u8a73\u60c5\u5c31\u4e0d\u65b9\u4fbf\u516c\u958b\u8b1b\u4e86\u3002 \u6b64\u4eba\u7d55\u975e\u4e00\u822c\u8c61\u7259\u5854\u6559\u6388\u3002\u7576\u5e74\u5c0d\u4ed6\u7684\u5370\u8c61\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4ed6\u76f8\u7576\u300c\u5165\u4e16\u300d\uff0c\u98a8\u6d41\u501c\u513b\uff0c\u8ddf\u91d1\u878d\u754c\u904e\u5f9e\u751a\u5bc6\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u6bd4\u4e00\u822c\u6559\u6388\u512a\u6e25\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u9edevulgar\u3002\u4ed6\u7576\u5e74\u7db2\u9801\u4e0a\u7684\u7167\u7247\uff0c\u662f\u4ed6\u8ddf\u5176\u904a\u8247\u548c\u8dd1\u8eca\u7684\u5408\u7167&#8230; \u4ed6\u7684\u5b78\u8853\u8ad6\u6587\u8457\u4f5c\u4e0d\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e7e\u4e4e\u7bc7\u7bc7\u90fd\u6709\u6975\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0d\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6280\u8853\u9ad8\u624b\uff0c\u4f46\u6975\u6709\u5275\u610f\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\u77e5\u9053\u4ec0\u9ebc\u984c\u76ee\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4ec0\u9ebc\u984c\u76ee\u6c92\u6709\u5e02\u5834\u3002 \u56de\u5230\u6b63\u984c\u3002\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u5b78\u7fd2\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u6559\u79d1\u66f8\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6bd4\u8f03\u9ad8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\uff0c\u90fd\u6c92\u6709\u7528\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u78a9\u58eb\u8ab2\u7a0b\u6700\u5e38\u7528\u7684David Romer\u90a3\u672c\u96fb\u8a71\u7c3f\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u4f60\u5f9e\u5230\u982d\u5230\u5c3e\u770b\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u5f9e\u5c3e\u5230\u982d\u53c8\u770b\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u4f60\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5c0d\u8b80\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u6709\u8f03\u597d\u6e96\u5099\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u6b64\u5c0d\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u65b0\u805e\u591a\u4e00\u9ede\u4e86\u89e3\u3002 \u5b78\u904e\u672c\u79d1\u751f\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u8981\u8a8d\u8b58\u7684\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u3002\u77e5\u9053\u57fa\u672c\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u6e05\u695a\u6578\u64da\u5f9e\u4f55\u800c\u4f86\uff0c\u660e\u767d\u6578\u64da\u4e4b\u9593\u5148\u5f8c\u5347\u8dcc\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u5df2\u7d93\u975e\u5e38\u8db3\u5920\u4e86\u3002 \u9019\u672c1989\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u9673\u5e74\u820a\u66f8\uff0c\u770b\u4f3c\u6c89\u60b6\uff0c\u597d\u50cf\u53ea\u662f\u5c07\u7d93\u6fdf\u6307\u6a19\u9010\u4e00\u4ecb\u7d39\u3002\u4e0d\u904e\u6b64\u66f8\u4f5c\u8005\u6587\u5982\u5176\u4eba\uff0c\u5f88\u61c2\u5f97\u5305\u88dd\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c07\u6700\u6c88\u60b6\u7684\u5167\u5bb9\u5beb\u5f97\u5145\u6eff\u8da3\u5473\uff0c\u5728\u4ecb\u7d39\u6578\u64da\u6642\u8b1b\u8b1b\u8da3\u805e\u8efc\u4e8b\uff0c\u53c8\u9806\u4fbf\u63d0\u53ca\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u77e5\u8b58\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u662f\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u5c08\u9577\u70ba\u6642\u9593\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u66f8\u4e2d\u5c0d\u6578\u64da\u7684\u8655\u7406\u56e0\u6b64\u6bd4\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u66f8\u7c4d\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e0d\u6703\u5c07\u4e00\u5806\u5411\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u653e\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\u300c\u6bd4\u8f03\u300d\u3002 \u7576\u7136\u4e86\uff0c\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5df2\u51fa\u724830\u591a\u5e74\uff0c\u5167\u5bb9\u6216\u6709\u9ede\u904e\u6642\u7f3a\u6f0f\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u6599\u5927\u5bb6\u5230\u7db2\u4e0a\u627e\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e86\u3002\u8981\u5f9e\u9019\u672c\u66f8\u5b78\u7fd2\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u786c\u8cc7\u6599\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5c0d\u5b8f\u89c0\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u7684\u300c\u611f\u89ba\u300d\u3002 &nbsp; \u4e0b\u6b21\u7684\u9078\u64c7\u6703\u66f4\u52a0\u51b7\u9580\uff01"}