{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u66fe\u570b\u5e73\u6559\u6388","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/byrontkp","title":"\u7528\u535a\u5955\u8ad6\u89e3\u91cb\u300c\u898f\u5247\u300d\u597d\u904e\u300c\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c\u300d - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/491699\">\u7528\u535a\u5955\u8ad6\u89e3\u91cb\u300c\u898f\u5247\u300d\u597d\u904e\u300c\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c\u300d<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/491699\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u7528\u535a\u5955\u8ad6\u89e3\u91cb\u300c\u898f\u5247\u300d\u597d\u904e\u300c\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c\u300d&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/download.jpg","thumbnail_width":276,"thumbnail_height":183,"description":"\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u70ba\u4f55\u5b88\u898f\u5247(rules)\u597d\u904e\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c(discretion)\uff1f\u4eca\u65e5\u5148\u8b1b\u7406\u8ad6\uff0c\u4e0b\u6b21\u8b1b\u5be6\u8b49\u3002 \u6211\u8981\u8b1b\u7684\u7406\u8ad6\uff0c\u4f86\u81ea\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8005Robert J. Barro\u548cDavid B. Gordon\u57281983\u5e74\u767c\u8868\u7684\u5169\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002Barro\u5f88\u6709\u540d\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u4e00\u4f4d\u85cd\u8272\u524d\u8f29\u5f88\u559c\u6b61\u5f15\u7528\u4ed6\u7684\u6709\u95dc\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002Gordon\u5c31\u795e\u79d8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u66fe\u7d93\u662f\u6211\u6b04\u53cb\u5f90\u5bb6\u5065\u7684\u540c\u4e8b\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u9000\u4f11\u4e86\uff0c\u7db2\u4e0a\u9023\u7167\u7247\u4e5f\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u7236\u89aa\u662fDonald Gordon\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u5728\u6211\u6bcd\u6821\u83ef\u76db\u9813\u5927\u5b78\u4efb\u6559\uff0c\u5c0d\u5f8c\u4f86\u7684\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u734e\u5f97\u4e3bDouglas North\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u81f3\u65bcNorth\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u89aa\u621a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u53c8\u662f\u6211\u7684\u540c\u4e8b&#8230; \u73fe\u5728\u5c31\u8b93\u6211\u4ee5\u6700\u6700\u7c21\u55ae\u7684\u6578\u5b78\uff0c\u70ba\u5927\u5bb6\u4ecb\u7d39\u9019\u500b\u8457\u540d\u6a21\u578b\u5427\u3002 \u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6709\u689d\u83f2\u5229\u6d66\u66f2\u7dda\uff0c\u5c07\u5931\u696d\u7387\u548c\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u626f\u4e0a\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002 \u5931\u696d\u7387=\u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387 &#8211; (\u901a\u6f32\u7387 &#8211; \u9810\u671f\u901a\u6f32\u7387) \u82e5\u679c\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u6bd4\u9810\u671f\u7684\u9ad8\uff0c\u51fa\u4e4e\u610f\u6599\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373\u662f\u8aaa\u52a0\u85aa\u8ffd\u4e0d\u4e0a\u901a\u6f32\uff0c\u90a3\u5de5\u4eba\u5c31\u76f8\u5c0d\u5730\u4fbf\u5b9c\u4e86\uff0c\u591a\u52a0\u8058\u7528\u591a\u52a0\u751f\u7522\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c31\u6703\u6bd4\u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4f4e\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\u4ea6\u7136\u3002\u82e5\u679c\u9810\u671f\u6b63\u78ba\uff0c\u90a3\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c31\u7b49\u5982\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u70ba\u4e86\u65b9\u4fbf\uff0c\u4e14\u5047\u8a2d\u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387\u70ba6%\u3002 \u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u5728\u65bc\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u548c\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff0c\u5c07\u5169\u8005\u90fd\u5e36\u5230\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7528\u6578\u5f0f\u4f86\u8868\u9054\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5beb\u6210 \u653f\u7b56\u640d\u5931 = (\u901a\u6f32\u7387 &#8211; \u901a\u6f32\u7387\u76ee\u6a19)^2 + (\u5931\u696d\u7387 &#8211; k* \u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387)^2 \u592e\u884c\u60f3\u5c07\u640d\u5931\u6e1b\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u4e0d\u96e3\u660e\u767d\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u592a\u9ad8\u6216\u592a\u4f4e\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u90fd\u4e0d\u559c\u6b61\uff0c\u9054\u6a19\u7684\u8a71\u6574\u500b\u90e8\u4efd\u5c31\u8b8a\u6210\u96f6\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u540c\u6a23\u60f3\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9054\u6a19\uff0c\u4f46\u76ee\u6a19\u4e0d\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u3002\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u8003\u616e\u6216\u58d3\u529b\u8981\u300c\u641e\u597d\u7d93\u6fdf\u300d\uff0c\u53c8\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u52de\u52d5\u5e02\u5834\u6709\u592a\u591a\u7121\u6548\u7387\u7684\u76e3\u7ba1\uff0c\u4ee4\u81ea\u7136\u5931\u696d\u7387\u592a\u9ad8\u3002\u6578\u5f0f\u4e2d\u7684k\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u65bc\u96f6\u5c0f\u65bc\u4e00\u7684\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u63cf\u8ff0\u592e\u884c\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u76ee\u6a19\u6709\u591a\u300c\u9032\u53d6\u300d\u3002\u70ba\u4e86\u65b9\u4fbf\uff0c\u4e14\u5c07k\u5b9a\u70ba0.5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c07\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u76ee\u6a19\u5b9a\u70ba2%\u3002 \u65bc\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u6709\u5169\u689d\u6578\u5f0f\uff1a \u5931\u696d\u7387=6% &#8211; (\u901a\u6f32\u7387- \u9810\u671f\u901a\u6f32\u7387) \u653f\u7b56\u640d\u5931 = (\u901a\u6f32\u7387 &#8211; 2%)^2 + (\u5931\u696d\u7387 &#8211; 0.5* 6%)^2 \u82e5\u679c\u592e\u884c\u56e0\u6642\u5236\u5b9c\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u6703\u5982\u4f55\u5462\uff1f\u6211\u5011\u5c07\u73fe\u5be6\u7c21\u5316\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u900f\u904e\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u97ff\u901a\u6f32\u7387\uff0c\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u76f4\u63a5\u8df3\u904e\u5176\u4e2d\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u628a\u592e\u884c\u60f3\u50cf\u6210\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u9078\u64c7\u901a\u6f32\u7387\u3002 \u5c07\u7b2c\u4e00\u689d\u6578\u5f0f\u653e\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u689d\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u6703\u5f97\u5230\uff1a \u653f\u7b56\u640d\u5931 = (\u901a\u6f32\u7387 &#8211; 2%)^2 + (6% &#8211; (\u901a\u6f32\u7387 &#8211; [&hellip;]"}