{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u66fe\u570b\u5e73\u6559\u6388","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/byrontkp","title":"\u89e3\u8b80\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u9677\u9631 - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/486728\">\u89e3\u8b80\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u9677\u9631<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/486728\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u89e3\u8b80\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u7684\u9677\u9631&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/20200719173003_0_20200715171129-1-004.jpg","thumbnail_width":600,"thumbnail_height":338,"description":"\u524d\u5929\u6587\u53f0\u9577\u6797\u8d85\u82f1\u5728Facebook\u9019\u6a23\u70ba\u9999\u6e2f\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u75ab\u60c5\u89e3\u8b80\uff1a \u300c\u6d88\u606f\u50b3\u4f86\uff0c\u4eca\u5929\u78ba\u8a3a108\u5b97\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u5fc3\u7406\u95dc\u53e3\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u6703\u7522\u751f\u6cae\u55aa\u5fc3\u60c5\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u5927\u5bb6\u770b\u770b\u5716\u8868\u4fbf\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0d\u65b7\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u5011\u96c6\u9ad4\u7684\u9632\u75ab\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u7522\u751f\u4e86\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u628a\u539f\u4f86\u7684\u5347\u52e2\u58d3\u4e86\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u518d\u5805\u6301\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u58d3\u5f97\u66f4\u5e95\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4e0a\u6b21\u4e00\u6a23\u3002 \u4fdd\u6301\u6b63\u9762\u5fc3\u60c5\uff0c\u79d1\u5b78\u9762\u5c0d\u6311\u6230\u3002\u300d \u6e2f\u5927\u5fae\u751f\u7269\u5b78\u7cfb\u8b1b\u5ea7\u6559\u6388\u8881\u570b\u52c7\u4ea6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u63a8\u51fa\u7684\u6297\u75ab\u65b0\u63aa\u65bd\u5be6\u65bd\u4e86\u6578\u5929\uff0c\u78ba\u8a3a\u4eba\u6578\u6c92\u6709\u51fa\u73fe\u5e7e\u4f55\u7d1a\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u63aa\u65bd\u66ab\u6642\u4e26\u975e\u7121\u6548\u3002 \u6211\u4e0d\u6562\u8cea\u7591\u5169\u4f4d\u79d1\u5b78\u5c08\u5bb6\u7684\u77e5\u8b58\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5169\u500b\u8aaa\u6cd5\u90fd\u6709\u9ede\u5947\u5947\u602a\u602a\uff0c\u4e0d\u592a\u7b26\u5408\u7d93\u6fdf\u908f\u8f2f\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9055\u53cd\u57fa\u672c\u5e38\u8b58\u3002 \u4e0a\u5716\u4e2d\u986f\u793a\u7684\u662f\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\uff0c\u524d\u53f0\u9577\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\uff0c\u8ddf\u4e0d\u5c11\u50b3\u67d3\u75c5\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u7b56\u5e72\u9810\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u5c31\u6703\u4ee5\u5e7e\u4f55\u7d1a\u6578\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373\u662f\u6bcf\u65e5\u7684\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u4e0a\u4e00\u65e5\u6578\u5b57\u589e\u52a0\u67d0\u500b\u767e\u4efd\u6bd4\uff0c\u4e00\u5929\u6bd4\u4e00\u5929\u9ad8\u3002 \u65bc\u662f\uff0c\u524d\u53f0\u9577\u5716\u4e2d\u7684Y\u8ef8\uff0c\u5c31\u7528\u4e0a\u6240\u8b02\u7684log scale\uff0c\u4ea6\u5373\u6578\u5b57\u662f\u4ee510\u7684\u96f6\u6b21\u65b9\u3001\u4e00\u6b21\u65b9\u3001\u4e8c\u6b21\u65b9\u7684\u756b\u4e0a\u53bb\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u822c\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u3002 \u82e5\u679c\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u4fdd\u6301\u6bcf\u65e5100\u5b97\uff0c\u90a3\u5728\u5716\u4e2d\u5c31\u6703\u662f\u4e00\u689d\u6a6b\u7dda\u3002 \u82e5\u679c\u65b0\u78ba\u8a3a\u6578\u5b57\u4ee5\u67d0\u500b\u6bd4\u7387\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u90a3\u5716\u4e2d\u7684\u7dda\u6703\u5411\u4e0a\u659c\uff0c\u589e\u9577\u7387\u6108\u9ad8\u6108\u659c\u3002 \u524d\u53f0\u9577\u9019\u5e45\u5716\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u4e0d\u592a\u591a\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u96a8\u610f\u5283\u51fa\u5169\u689d\u76f4\u7dda\uff0c\u4ee5\u793a\u589e\u9577\u7387\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6b63\u6240\u8b02\u60c5\u4eba\u773c\u88e1\u51fa\u897f\u65bd\uff0c\u4eba\u4eba\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5716\u4e2d\u770b\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u76f4\u7dda\u3002\u5176\u5be6\uff0c\u4ee5\u5982\u6b64\u6709\u9650\u7684\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5224\u65b7\u589e\u9577\u7387\u6709\u6c92\u6709\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e3b\u89c0\u9858\u671b\u591a\u65bc\u4e00\u5207\u3002 \u9019\u60c5\u6cc1\u5c31\u50cf\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u7747\u5716\u6d3e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eba\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5728\u80a1\u50f9\u5716\u8868\u4e2d\u756b\u4f86\u756b\u53bb\uff0c\u7d50\u679c\u53ea\u662f\u4fe1\u5247\u6709\u4e0d\u4fe1\u5247\u7121\u7684\u73a9\u610f\u3002 \u66f4\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u662f\u50b3\u67d3\u75c5\u5b78\u6a21\u578b(\u4f8b\u5982\u6700\u6d41\u884c\u7684SEIR (Susceptible &#8211; 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