{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Fortune Insight","provider_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web","author_name":"\u674e\u6d77\u6b23","author_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/author\/lhyleehoiyan","title":"\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u773e\u5730\u52ff\u4f01 - Fortune Insight","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><a href=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/482511\">\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u773e\u5730\u52ff\u4f01<\/a><\/blockquote>\n<script type='text\/javascript'>\n<!--\/\/--><![CDATA[\/\/><!--\n\t\t!function(c,d){\"use strict\";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display=\"none\";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if(\"link\"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement(\"a\"),i=d.createElement(\"a\"),a.href=r.getAttribute(\"src\"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener(\"message\",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",t,!1),c.addEventListener(\"load\",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf(\"MSIE 10\"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(\/Trident.*rv:11\\.\/),i=d.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute(\"security\"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document);\n\/\/--><!]]>\n<\/script><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/posts\/482511\/embed\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u773e\u5730\u52ff\u4f01&#8221; &#8212; Fortune Insight\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe>","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/prime.fortuneinsight.com\/web\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/\u7d22\u5f15.png","thumbnail_width":310,"thumbnail_height":163,"description":"\u8fd1\u5e74\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u6210\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u5bf5\u5152\uff0c\u5f9e\u7d71\u8a08\u6578\u5b57\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u4e3b\u52d5\u57fa\u91d1\u80fd\u9577\u671f\u8dd1\u8d0f\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u5be6\u5728\u662f\u5c11\u6578\u3002\u5728\u5916\u570b\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u66f4\u6709\u7a05\u52d9\u512a\u60e0\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8fd1\u5e74\u5df2\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u8f49\u6295\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u61f7\u62b1\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u4ee5\u8cc7\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u8abf\u63a7\u5404\u985e\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u80a1\u795e\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u4e5f\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u85a6\u5927\u5bb6\u6295\u8cc7\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u4ed6\u66fe\u8aaa90%\u7684\u7f8e\u80a1\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u53ca10%\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u570b\u50b5\uff0c\u5c07\u662f\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u4ed6\u5728\u672c\u6708\u4e2d\u4e5f\u8eab\u9ad4\u529b\u884c\u8cb7\u5165Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:VOO)\u548cSPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF(NYSEMKT:SPY)\u3002 &nbsp; \u65e9\u5728\u5e7e\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u770b\u8457\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8f49\u6295\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u7b46\u8005\u554f\u670b\u53cb\u5011\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u7e3d\u662f\u300c\u773e\u5730\u52ff\u4f01\u300d\uff0c\u7576\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u4e3b\u984c\u8b8a\u5f97\u71b1\u9580\u6642\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u4fbf\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff0c\u770b\u4f3c\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6b7b\u7a74\uff1f\u5f88\u591a\u670b\u53cb\u90fd\u5f88\u96e3\u56de\u7b54\u9019\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u670b\u53cb\u8a8d\u70ba\u5982\u679c\u8981\u60f3\u5230\u9019\u9ebc\u6975\u7aef\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7d71\u90fd\u5df2\u7d93\u57ae\u6389\u4e86\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6709\u4e9b\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e0d\u5b9c\u61f7\u7591\u5230\u6975\u81f4\uff0c\u4f46\u60f3\u6df1\u4e00\u5c64\uff0c\u6709\u54ea\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u89f8\u53ca\u6975\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1f &nbsp; \u7b46\u8005\u7684\u5e2b\u7236\u6885\u5049\u741b\u5247\u8aaa\uff1a\u300c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u554f\u984c\u662f\u5176\u8d85\u9577\u7dda\u8cb7\u5165\u7684\u504f\u898b\u3002\u300dMichael Burry\u662f\u96fb\u5f71\u300a\u6cbd\u6ce8\u4e00\u64f2\u300b(The big short)\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e3b\u89d2\u7684\u539f\u5f62\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u4ed6\u53bb\u5e74\u5728\u5f6d\u535a\u901a\u8a0a\u793e\u7684\u8a2a\u554f\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u662f\u4e0d\u65b7\u63a8\u9ad8\u80a1\u7968\u53ca\u50b5\u5238\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u5143\u5147\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8cb7\u5165\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u5f8c\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u53c8\u6703\u518d\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u904e\u7a0b\u4e0d\u65b7\u5faa\u74b0\uff0c\u4fbf\u6703\u628a\u9019\u80a1\u7968\u53ca\u50b5\u5238\u50f9\u683c\u63a8\u9ad8\uff0c\u88fd\u9020\u91d1\u878d\u6ce1\u6cab\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u8207\u7576\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002 &nbsp; \u6700\u8fd1\u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\u65b0\u51a0\u80ba\u708e\u75ab\u60c5\u5c07\u5f15\u767c\u88ab\u52d5\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u8e29\u4eba\u5f0f\u7684\u6cbd\u8ca8\uff0c\u7576\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8ce3\u51fa\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u4f9b\u5927\u65bc\u6c42\uff0c\u55ae\u4f4d\u5247\u6703\u88ab\u8d16\u56de\uff0c\u5728\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u5167\u7684\u6210\u5206\u80a1\u4fbf\u6703\u88ab\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u50f9\u683c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7e7c\u7e8c\u62cb\u552e\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u904e\u7a0b\u4e0d\u65b7\u5faa\u74b0\u3002\u70ba\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5e36\u4f86\u707d\u96e3\u3002 &nbsp; \u7b46\u8005\u89ba\u5f97\u6307\u6578\u6210\u5206\u80a1\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5747\u6709\u5176\u5c0d\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u610f\u898b\uff0c\u53ef\u8ce3\u51fa\u53ca\u8cb7\u5165\uff0cMichael Burry\u7684\u731c\u60f3\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u592a\u4f3c\u662f\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u6703\u5931\u6557\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u6700\u591a\u53ea\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u8f03\u4ee5\u5f80\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u8b8a\u5f97\u5347\u6642\u6025\u8dcc\u4ea6\u6025\u3002 &nbsp; \u53cd\u800c\u7b46\u8005\u89ba\u5f97\uff0c\u6307\u6578\u57fa\u91d1\u5982\u679c\u5728\u55ae\u4f4d\u88ab\u8d16\u56de\u6642\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6c92\u6709\u8db3\u5920\u7684\u6d41\u901a\u91cf\u627f\u63a5\u4ed6\u5011\u8ce3\u51fa\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u4f7f\u9019\u4e9b\u57fa\u91d1\u51fa\u73fe\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u53c8\u6216\u662f\u8a87\u5f35\u5730\u4f7f\u4ed6\u5011\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u984d\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u6703\u5426\u4f7f\u4ed6\u5011\u5012\u9589\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u9019\u4e9b\u57fa\u91d1\u6c92\u6709\u6301\u6709\u76f8\u7b49\u6578\u76ee\u7684\u6210\u5206\u80a1\uff0c\u53c8\u6703\u5426\u51fa\u73fe\u4fe1\u7528\u5371\u6a5f\uff1f &nbsp; \u7de8\u865f \u80a1\u7968\u540d\u7a31 \u00a0\u8cb7\u5165\u50f9 \u00a0\u6578\u91cf \u6628\u5929\u6536\u5e02\u50f9 \u00a0\u5e02\u503c \u00a0\u7d44\u5408\u6bd4\u91cd 382 \u4e2d\u6ed9\u96c6\u5718 5.17 20,000 4.05 81,000 20.55% 331 \u8c50\u76db\u670d\u52d9\u96c6\u5718 3.83 66,000 3.17 209,220 53.07% 1997 \u4e5d\u9f8d\u5009\u7f6e\u696d 36.5 3,000 31.75 95,250 24.16% \u3000 \u80a1\u7968\u7e3d\u503c 385,470 \u3000 [&hellip;]"}