1.0Fortune Insighthttps://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web葉朗程https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/author/marcusyiprich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content"><a href="https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/662847">聯儲局期望的股市走向</a></blockquote> <script type='text/javascript'> <!--//--><![CDATA[//><!-- !function(c,d){"use strict";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display="none";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute("style"),"height"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if("link"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement("a"),i=d.createElement("a"),a.href=r.getAttribute("src"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener("message",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",t,!1),c.addEventListener("load",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf("MSIE 10"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(/Trident.*rv:11\./),i=d.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute("data-secret"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+="#?secret="+t,e.setAttribute("data-secret",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute("security"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document); //--><!]]> </script><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/662847/embed" width="600" height="338" title="“聯儲局期望的股市走向” — Fortune Insight" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe>https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/quantie.jpg620413周三晚，美股大幅抽升，第二日，隨即大跌，市場究竟在想什麽，聯儲局究竟想股市升或跌？ 周三大升，主要因為鮑威爾表明6、7月份比較大可能加息50點子，較市場預期的75點子低。周四大跌，市場沒有給出具說服力的原因，比較讓人驚訝的是，市場無視鮑威爾給出的forward guidance,利率期貨顯示6月要加息75點子。 短時間內大上大落，沒有什麽交易操作空間可言，如果聚焦中線，股市將傾向升或跌？之前提到3月份聯儲局議息後的記者會，鮑威爾應該傾向股市跌，然後股市確實反覆下跌，那今次5月份議息後的記者會，又有沒有表態？ 看來還是有的，大家不妨細味一下：“we need to look around and keep going if we don’t see that financial conditions have tightened adequately, or that the economy is behaving in ways that suggests that we that we’re not where we need to be. So again, you don’t see those things yet.”如果簡單直接解讀的話，可以是：you don’t see financial conditions have […]