1.0Fortune Insighthttps://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web曾國平教授https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/author/byrontkprich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content"><a href="https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/482553">美國失業率會升到幾高呢？</a></blockquote> <script type='text/javascript'> <!--//--><![CDATA[//><!-- !function(c,d){"use strict";var e=!1,n=!1;if(d.querySelector)if(c.addEventListener)e=!0;if(c.wp=c.wp||{},!c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage)if(c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if(t)if(t.secret||t.message||t.value)if(!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(t.secret)){for(var r,a,i,s=d.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),n=d.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),o=0;o<n.length;o++)n[o].style.display="none";for(o=0;o<s.length;o++)if(r=s[o],e.source===r.contentWindow){if(r.removeAttribute("style"),"height"===t.message){if(1e3<(i=parseInt(t.value,10)))i=1e3;else if(~~i<200)i=200;r.height=i}if("link"===t.message)if(a=d.createElement("a"),i=d.createElement("a"),a.href=r.getAttribute("src"),i.href=t.value,i.host===a.host)if(d.activeElement===r)c.top.location.href=t.value}}},e)c.addEventListener("message",c.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),d.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",t,!1),c.addEventListener("load",t,!1);function t(){if(!n){n=!0;for(var e,t,r=-1!==navigator.appVersion.indexOf("MSIE 10"),a=!!navigator.userAgent.match(/Trident.*rv:11\./),i=d.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),s=0;s<i.length;s++){if(!(e=i[s]).getAttribute("data-secret"))t=Math.random().toString(36).substr(2,10),e.src+="#?secret="+t,e.setAttribute("data-secret",t);if(r||a)(t=e.cloneNode(!0)).removeAttribute("security"),e.parentNode.replaceChild(t,e)}}}}(window,document); //--><!]]> </script><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/posts/482553/embed" width="600" height="338" title="“美國失業率會升到幾高呢？” — Fortune Insight" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe>https://prime.fortuneinsight.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/GettyImages-107808152-5744dc7d3df78c6bb04c8288.jpg800634早前三百萬人新領失業救濟人數達300萬，除了傳媒大報特報，資產市場似乎沒有什麼反應，照樣在當日上升，含意不是失業人數多是好消息，而是這規模其實不難預計。正如我上一篇文章的講，大概知道某幾個行業的就業人數，就可以算出人數必由百萬起計了。 本文刊出之後的星期五，又到美國三月份的就業報告出爐。失業率到底會否如文中新領失業救濟般急升呢？ 淺的答案，可在Bureau of Labor Statistics為就業報告作的一個註釋找到： For both surveys, the data for a given month relate to a particular week or pay period. In the household survey, the reference period is generally the calendar week that contains the 12th day of the month. In the establishment survey, the reference period is the pay period including […]